Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 May 2024

Deportivo Alaves
1-0 HT 1-0
Getafe
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
9%
7.95
X/X
14%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
6.53
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.59/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.33
-21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
24.6 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.7

Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Getafe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.68 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
223 Passes 208
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
12 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
26.02.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
11.12.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
31.01.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
26.09.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
13.07.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1

Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-0
AWAY Getafe
1.18 xG 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
143 Passes 181
59% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves edged past Getafe 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 47% of the ball to Getafe's 53%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.67 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe?

Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 44%, draw 28%, Getafe 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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