Nashville SC 1-1 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 May 2024

Nashville SC
1-1 HT 1-0
Atlanta United
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 32% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.28
X/2
11%
8.45
X/X
14%
4.96
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
8%
6.24
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nashville SC v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.67/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.59
+12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.9 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlanta United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 426
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
29.04.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
22.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
12.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-2 HT 0-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABDK
28.08.2021 Atlanta United Atlanta United 0-2 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
09.07.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD

Nashville SC 1-1 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
1-1
AWAY Atlanta United
1.37 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
315 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC and Atlanta United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Nashville SC had 48% of the ball to Atlanta United's 52%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.37 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nashville SC and 1.83 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?

Nashville SC 1-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 45%, draw 29%, Atlanta United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nashville SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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