San Miguel 2-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.4
No
69%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.0pp
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
-6.4pp
69%
BTTS No
62%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 23%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.08
+54% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel squeezed past Deportivo Maipu 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Deportivo Maipu?

San Miguel 2-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 49%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maipu 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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