FC Minsk 1-2 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
5.79
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.11/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.35
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
03.04.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
19.09.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 3-1 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
08.05.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 3-3 HT 1-2 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
22.11.2020 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 2-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
21.06.2020 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
1-2
AWAY Vitebsk
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk edged past FC Minsk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Vitebsk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Minsk had 50% of the ball to Vitebsk's 50%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitebsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Minsk and 1.67 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Vitebsk?

FC Minsk 1-2 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 35%, draw 25%, Vitebsk 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitebsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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