Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 24%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.05/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.35
-44% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
13.0 Crosses 15.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2-2
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.78 xG 1.04
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
369 Passes 158
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Independiente Petrolero shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 67% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 33%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.78 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Independiente Petrolero?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 48%, draw 27%, Independiente Petrolero 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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