Libertad vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
4-2
HT 2-2
Libertad
EKV1
4-2
HT 2-1
Libertad
EKV2
1-1
HT 1-1
El Nacional
EKV2
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV2
3-0
HT 2-0
Libertad
EKV2
Libertad 0-2 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional got the better of Libertad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; El Nacional found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Libertad had 59% of the ball to El Nacional's 41%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.25 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 2.17 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Libertad vs El Nacional?
Libertad 0-2 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Libertad 35%, draw 28%, El Nacional 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.