Awassa Kenema 2-3 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mekelakeya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
10.01.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 2-1 HT 1-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
2-3
AWAY Mekelakeya
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya edged past Awassa Kenema 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 45% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 55%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Awassa Kenema 2-3 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 19%, draw 29%, Mekelakeya 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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