HNK Cibalia 1-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
2.51/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.71
+66% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +119%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-1
AWAY Jarun
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia and Jarun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 54% of the ball to Jarun's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Jarun?

HNK Cibalia 1-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 40%, draw 26%, Jarun 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (HNK Cibalia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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