Posta Rangers 2-1 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.29
No
66%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.2pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
177 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.10.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-0 HT 1-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posta Rangers
2-1
AWAY Homeboyz
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posta Rangers edged past Homeboyz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Homeboyz at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Posta Rangers had 49% of the ball to Homeboyz's 51%, shots finished 14-19.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs Homeboyz?

Posta Rangers 2-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 26%, draw 23%, Homeboyz 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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