Tukums II 0-4 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

Tukums II
0-4 HT 0-1
Super Nova
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Tukums II vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tukums II v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 69%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+4% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 491 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova ran out comfortable winners over Tukums II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Super Nova?

Tukums II 0-4 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 20%, draw 21%, Super Nova 59%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Super Nova) ✓ BTTS No
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