Gornik Leczna 1-3 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 23%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
2.28/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.08
+36% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
25.11.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 3-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
18.02.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
31.07.2022 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
19.07.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-2 HT 2-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL2
02.11.2019 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
1-3
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow beat Gornik Leczna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Leczna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 53% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 47%, shots finished 21-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Gornik Leczna and 1.20 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Stal Rzeszow?

Gornik Leczna 1-3 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 44%, draw 25%, Stal Rzeszow 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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