Albirex Niigata S 1-0 Hougang United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Singapore Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
16%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+4.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.1pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata S EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hougang United EU Bookmakers 31%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
2.12/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.04
+1% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata S
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hougang United
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 15
14 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 5-0 HT 3-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
06.05.2023 Hougang United Hougang United 0-5 HT 0-3 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNP
15.03.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 2-0 HT 1-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
19.02.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 3-0 HT 0-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNCS
15.11.2022 Hougang United Hougang United 4-2 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNK
11.11.2022 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 3-3 HT 3-1 Hougang United Hougang United SİNK
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata S vs Hougang United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata S squeezed past Hougang United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Albirex Niigata S as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata S had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Albirex Niigata S and 1.17 for Hougang United.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata S vs Hougang United?

Albirex Niigata S 1-0 Hougang United in the Singapore Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata S vs Hougang United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata S win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata S 56%, draw 21%, Hougang United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata S) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata S) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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