Prachuap vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Prachuap v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals
Prachuap vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Prachuap
TAY
3-2
HT 1-2
Prachuap
TAY
2-1
HT 1-0
Chiangrai United
TAY
1-3
HT 0-1
Chiangrai United
TAY
1-2
HT 0-0
Prachuap
TAY
Prachuap 1-0 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics
Prachuap squeezed past Chiangrai United 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Prachuap had 49% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 51%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.21 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Prachuap's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Prachuap and 1.80 for Chiangrai United.
What was the final score of Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Prachuap 1-0 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 52%, draw 27%, Chiangrai United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.