Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 May 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix
1-0 HT 0-0
Progreso
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Centro Atletico Fenix v Progreso — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.36
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Progreso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.07.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
02.02.2021 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
09.08.2020 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
16.11.2019 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-0
AWAY Progreso
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Centro Atletico Fenix edged past Progreso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Centro Atletico Fenix found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 48% of the ball to Progreso's 52%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.00 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 36%, draw 27%, Progreso 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Progreso) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progreso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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