Central Valley Fuego 0-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 48%
-27% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.25/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.56
-38% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.4 Crosses 12.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Valley Fuego
0W-1D-2L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.92
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
217 Passes 354
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
01.05.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.04.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Valley Fuego
0-2
AWAY One Knoxville
0.70 xG 2.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
294 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville got the better of Central Valley Fuego 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; One Knoxville found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 51% of the ball to One Knoxville's 49%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.70 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, One Knoxville led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Central Valley Fuego and 1.00 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville?

Central Valley Fuego 0-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 34%, draw 26%, One Knoxville 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5
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