Östers 1-1 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 18 May 2025

Östers
1-1 HT 0-0
GAIS
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.37
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
13%
7.83
X/2
20%
4.41
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.65
2/X
8%
14.25
Value flag · X/1 at 7.83 — our 13% vs market 9.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.12/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/1.64
-38% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.6
19.7 Crosses 29.6
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY GAIS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2023 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
13.05.2023 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
07.11.2021 Östers Östers 1-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
04.05.2021 GAIS GAIS 3-2 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
21.11.2020 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
29.08.2020 Östers Östers 4-1 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
1-1
AWAY GAIS
0.54 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
407 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Östers vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers and GAIS shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was GAIS at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Östers had 55% of the ball to GAIS's 45%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.54 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Östers and 1.17 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Östers vs GAIS?

Östers 1-1 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated an GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Östers 27%, draw 27%, GAIS 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GAIS), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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