Vila Nova 2-1 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 May 2025

Vila Nova
2-1 HT 2-0
Atletico Paranaense
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Vila Nova vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.38
Over
39%
2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.39
No
58%
1.51
Total Goals
0-1
33%
1.86
2-3
41%
1.83
4-5
18%
6.81
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Vila Nova v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense The Market 34%
+5% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.8 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Vila Nova 2-1 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
2-1
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
2.48 xG 1.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
162 Passes 350
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Vila Nova vs Atletico Paranaense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vila Nova found just enough to beat Atletico Paranaense 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

From a near-even 39% / 27% / 34% read, it was Vila Nova who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Atletico Paranaense saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.48 to 1.29.

Vila Nova vs Atletico Paranaense Result & Final Score

Vila Nova 2-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vila Nova vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 39%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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