Independiente Yumbo 1-4 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 18 May 2026

Independiente Yumbo
1-4 HT 1-1
Aguilas Doradas
📅18/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2026

Independiente Yumbo vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Yumbo v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Yumbo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Independiente Yumbo vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas cruised past Independiente Yumbo 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Aguilas Doradas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Independiente Yumbo vs Aguilas Doradas?

Independiente Yumbo 1-4 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Cup on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Yumbo vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente Yumbo 35%, draw 28%, Aguilas Doradas 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →