Al Ula 2-1 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.5pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ula EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
2.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.36
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ula
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Orubah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
03.03.2026 Al Ula Al Ula 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
08.11.2025 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ula Al Ula SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Ula vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ula edged past Al Orubah 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ula as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ula had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ula and 0.50 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Ula vs Al Orubah?

Al Ula 2-1 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ula vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ula win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ula 53%, draw 24%, Al Orubah 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ula), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ula) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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