Meizhou Hakka 1-2 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
61%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.67
2-3 Goals
39%
2.15
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
15.45
1/2
5%
20.6
1/X
4%
22.7
X/1
11%
22.3
X/2
14%
3.63
X/X
11%
9.52
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
43%
1.41
2/X
4%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
61%
Away Win
75%
-13.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
0.83/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.65
-10% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +131%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
12.5 Crosses 23.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.79 xG 2.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
362 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
20.05.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
15.12.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
24.10.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 7-0 HT 3-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-2
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.81 xG 2.65
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
230 Passes 493
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 49
22 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port squeezed past Meizhou Hakka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 35% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 65%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.81 to 2.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Port's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 2.75 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Shanghai Port?

Meizhou Hakka 1-2 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 19%, draw 20%, Shanghai Port 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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