Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 Jun 2024

Atletico Mineiro
0-4 HT 0-1
Palmeiras
📅18/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.82
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
18%
5.15
X/2
19%
5.51
X/X
13%
3.79
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
10%
4.19
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.25/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.36
+24% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
14.3 Crosses 18.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.08.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro LKU
03.08.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
29.05.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
29.09.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
11.08.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro LKU

Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-4
AWAY Palmeiras
0.37 xG 2.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
328 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras swept aside Atletico Mineiro 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Palmeiras made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 52% of the ball to Palmeiras's 48%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.37 to 2.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.50 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras?

Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 40%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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