Chapecoense 0-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.97
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.76
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.20/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.14
-22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +148%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.2 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Operario PR
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.46 xG 0.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
28.06.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
25.01.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
24.10.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0-1
AWAY Operario PR
0.91 xG 0.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
241 Passes 312
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR edged past Chapecoense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chapecoense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Chapecoense had 45% of the ball to Operario PR's 55%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.91 to 0.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chapecoense.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chapecoense and 1.25 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Operario PR?

Chapecoense 0-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 43%, draw 29%, Operario PR 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chapecoense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →