Northern Colorado 2-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.86/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.11
+35% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.1 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Colorado
2W-1D-0L
AWAY One Knoxville
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-4 HT 1-2 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
11.06.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
14.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 0-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Colorado
2-1
AWAY One Knoxville
2.05 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
233 Passes 346
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Northern Colorado vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Colorado squeezed past One Knoxville 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Northern Colorado as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Northern Colorado had 43% of the ball to One Knoxville's 57%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.05 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Northern Colorado and 1.00 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs One Knoxville?

Northern Colorado 2-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 52%, draw 21%, One Knoxville 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Colorado), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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