Newroz 1-0 Karbala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karbala EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.26
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Karbala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz squeezed past Karbala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newroz as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Karbala?

Newroz 1-0 Karbala in the Iraq - Premier League on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Karbala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Newroz 55%, draw 28%, Karbala 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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