Moss 3-1 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 18 Jun 2025

Moss
3-1 HT 2-0
Hodd
📅18/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Moss vs Hodd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.78
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.77
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.81 — our 49% vs market 47.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
47%
+9.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Hodd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 32%
+21% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -24%
1.78/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.09
+10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Moss vs Hodd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hodd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Moss Moss 3-0 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
13.05.2023 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
06.11.2021 Moss Moss 1-3 HT 1-2 Hodd Hodd NOR3
17.07.2021 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR3
11.07.2020 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR3
25.08.2019 Moss Moss 2-1 HT 1-0 Hodd Hodd NOR3
POST-MATCH Moss vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss got the better of Hodd 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moss and 1.33 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Moss vs Hodd?

Moss 3-1 Hodd in the Norway - 1st Division on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Moss 57%, draw 20%, Hodd 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
18 Jun 2025
20:00 Lyn Oslo vs Raufoss Analysis →
20:00 Ranheim vs Start Analysis →
20:00 Kongsvinger vs Aalesund Analysis →
20:00 Odds BK vs Mjondalen Analysis →
20:00 Skeid vs Sogndal Analysis →
20:00 Lilleström vs Asane Analysis →