İsveç U19 (K) 0-1 İtalya U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.32
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
27%
+13.9pp
18%
Draw
26%
-8.6pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+65% / +65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç U19 (K)
0-1
AWAY İtalya U19 (K)
0.96 xG 2.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
347 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH İsveç U19 (K) vs İtalya U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U19 (K) nicked a narrow win over İsveç U19 (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 18% / 42%) promised a tight game; İtalya U19 (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İsveç U19 (K) had 54% of the ball to İtalya U19 (K)'s 46%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.96 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İtalya U19 (K)'s control.

What was the final score of İsveç U19 (K) vs İtalya U19 (K)?

İsveç U19 (K) 0-1 İtalya U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç U19 (K) vs İtalya U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İsveç U19 (K) 40%, draw 18%, İtalya U19 (K) 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U19 (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U19 (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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