Urena 1-2 El Vigia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 18 Jun 2025

Urena
1-2 HT 0-2
El Vigia
📅18/06/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
VENK – 2025

Urena vs El Vigia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.1pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urena v El Vigia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urena EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY El Vigia EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Urena vs El Vigia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Vigia nicked a narrow win over Urena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had El Vigia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Urena vs El Vigia?

Urena 1-2 El Vigia in the VENK on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urena vs El Vigia?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Vigia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Urena 36%, draw 21%, El Vigia 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Vigia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Vigia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VENK More VENK
18 Jun 2025
00:00 Angostura FC vs Monagas Analysis →
22:00 Yaracuyanos vs Titanes Analysis →
22:00 Trujillanos vs Rayo Zuliano Analysis →
22:00 Real Frontera vs Estudiantes Analysis →
22:00 Bolivar SC vs Mineros De Guayana Analysis →
23:00 Aragua vs Caracas FC Analysis →