Wacker Burghausen 0-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Jul 2024

Wacker Burghausen
0-1 HT 0-0
Bayern München II
📅18/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Wacker Burghausen vs Bayern München II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wacker Burghausen v Bayern München II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.97/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.48
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses 16.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Wacker Burghausen vs Bayern München II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wacker Burghausen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.51 xG 1.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-1 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
21.07.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-3 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
10.04.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-1 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
16.09.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 5-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
13.05.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-4 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
15.10.2021 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-2 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL

Wacker Burghausen 0-1 Bayern München II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wacker Burghausen
0-1
AWAY Bayern München II
0.78 xG 1.12
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
190 Passes 477
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wacker Burghausen vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II edged past Wacker Burghausen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bayern München II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wacker Burghausen had 34% of the ball to Bayern München II's 66%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.78 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Wacker Burghausen and 2.00 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Wacker Burghausen vs Bayern München II?

Wacker Burghausen 0-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wacker Burghausen vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wacker Burghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wacker Burghausen 37%, draw 30%, Bayern München II 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wacker Burghausen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wacker Burghausen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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