Independiente Del Valle 0-0 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.3
6+ Goals
12%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.97
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.2
X/1
18%
3.45
X/2
6%
11.7
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
10%
10.5
2/X
11%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 19%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.12/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.85
+64% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -24%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 69%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.8 Crosses 18.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Boca Juniors
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 248
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
15.07.2016 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle LKU
08.07.2016 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
0-0
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.85 xG 0.54
75% Ball Possession 25%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
476 Passes 110
89% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle and Boca Juniors fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 75% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 25%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.85 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.50 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Boca Juniors?

Independiente Del Valle 0-0 Boca Juniors in the Copa Sudamericana on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 49%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ BTTS No
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