İrlanda U19 (K) 1-2 Almanya U19 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19 Women's, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
16.01
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
66%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
53%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
4%
+15.1pp
15%
Draw
11%
+4.4pp
66%
Away Win
85%
-19.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U19 (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +79%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
Crosses 16.3
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda U19 (K)
1-2
AWAY Almanya U19 (K)
0.40 xG 2.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 34
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
247 Passes 388
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 33
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İrlanda U19 (K) vs Almanya U19 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U19 (K) squeezed past İrlanda U19 (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Almanya U19 (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, İrlanda U19 (K) had 41% of the ball to Almanya U19 (K)'s 59%, shots finished 6-34, expected goals 0.40 to 2.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almanya U19 (K)'s control.

What was the final score of İrlanda U19 (K) vs Almanya U19 (K)?

İrlanda U19 (K) 1-2 Almanya U19 (K) in the European U19 Women's on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda U19 (K) vs Almanya U19 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U19 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split İrlanda U19 (K) 19%, draw 15%, Almanya U19 (K) 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U19 (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U19 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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