Birmingham Legion 1-3 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.55/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.12
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.6 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
1-3
AWAY Rhode Island
0.89 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
337 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island saw off Birmingham Legion 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rhode Island found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 53% of the ball to Rhode Island's 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.89 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?

Birmingham Legion 1-3 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 38%, draw 23%, Rhode Island 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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