12 de Octubre 3-0 Guairena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 12 de Octubre EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Guairena EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -56%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
203 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 12 de Octubre
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guairena
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2022 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre 0-0 HT 0-0 Guairena Guairena PAR
14.08.2022 Guairena Guairena 2-1 HT 0-1 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre PAR
31.05.2022 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre 0-4 HT 0-3 Guairena Guairena PAR
15.03.2022 Guairena Guairena 0-0 HT 0-0 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre PAR
20.11.2021 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre 0-0 HT 0-0 Guairena Guairena PAR
31.08.2021 Guairena Guairena 0-1 HT 0-0 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 12 de Octubre
3-0
AWAY Guairena
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH 12 de Octubre vs Guairena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

12 de Octubre swept aside Guairena 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Guairena at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, 12 de Octubre had 42% of the ball to Guairena's 58%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guairena led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for 12 de Octubre and 1.00 for Guairena.

What was the final score of 12 de Octubre vs Guairena?

12 de Octubre 3-0 Guairena in the Paraguay - Cup on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 12 de Octubre vs Guairena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guairena win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split 12 de Octubre 32%, draw 23%, Guairena 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Guairena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guairena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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