Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur R. Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thor Akureyri v Vikingur R. — Team-Based Signals
Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur R. Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Vikingur R.
İZK
0-5
HT 0-0
Vikingur R.
İZLK
6-1
HT 3-0
Vikingur R.
İZL
3-1
HT 1-0
Vikingur R.
İZK
2-0
HT 1-0
Thor Akureyri
İZL
Thor Akureyri 2-1 Vikingur R. — Actual Match Statistics
Thor Akureyri squeezed past Vikingur R. 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vikingur R. at 80% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.95 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.83 for Vikingur R..
What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur R.?
Thor Akureyri 2-1 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Vikingur R.?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 12%, draw 8%, Vikingur R. 80%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.