Bahia 2-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 Jul 2026

Bahia
2-0 HT 2-0
Chapecoense
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bahia vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 23% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.68
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
17.05
X/1
22%
3.9
X/2
5%
13.85
X/X
10%
6.61
2/1
11%
21.05
2/2
5%
11.4
2/X
7%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.74/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.75
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
21.8 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Bahia vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
363 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 3-1 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR2
15.06.2022 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
25.10.2021 Bahia Bahia 3-0 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
04.07.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-2 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
07.11.2019 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
28.07.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1

Bahia 2-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
2-0
AWAY Chapecoense
1.40 xG 0.40
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
464 Passes 221
30 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Bahia vs Chapecoense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Bahia beat Chapecoense 2-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 18 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.40 to 0.40.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bahia and 0.83 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Chapecoense?

Bahia 2-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bahia 65%, draw 21%, Chapecoense 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ BTTS No
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