Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 Jul 2026

Fortaleza CEIF
1-0 HT 1-0
Novorizontino
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Fortaleza CEIF vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 36% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza CEIF v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
– Crosses 19.0
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-0
AWAY Novorizontino
1.26 xG 0.97
17 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
264 Passes 452
21 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Fortaleza CEIF vs Novorizontino
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fortaleza CEIF edged past Novorizontino 1-0 in the Brazil - Serie B on 18 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.26 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Novorizontino?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 45%, draw 28%, Novorizontino 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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