North Geelong Warriors 0-2 Melbourne Victory U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 18 Jul 2026

North Geelong Warriors
0-2
Melbourne Victory U23
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2026

North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.31
No
35%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
43%
-11.9pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.8pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Geelong Warriors v Melbourne Victory U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/3.05
+47% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U23 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Geelong Warriors
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Victory U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
11.04.2026 Melbourne Victory U23 Melbourne Victory U23 2-1 North Geelong Warriors North Geelong Warriors NPL2
POST-MATCH North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory U23 got the better of North Geelong Warriors 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was North Geelong Warriors at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U23?

North Geelong Warriors 0-2 Melbourne Victory U23 in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Geelong Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split North Geelong Warriors 41%, draw 28%, Melbourne Victory U23 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (North Geelong Warriors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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