Athletic Club Boise 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.9pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club Boise EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 21%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.65/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.36
-18% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
28.1 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club Boise
2-1
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
2.52 xG 0.43
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
471 Passes 201
33 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club Boise squeezed past Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Club Boise as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.52 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Athletic Club Boise's control.

What was the final score of Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Athletic Club Boise 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club Boise win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club Boise 61%, draw 21%, Portland Hearts of Pine 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Club Boise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Club Boise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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