18/07/2026
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Vermont Green vs Ironbound Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
2%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
76%
20%
Draw
15%
7%
Away Win
10%
65%
BTTS Yes
54%
35%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vermont Green v Ironbound — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vermont Green
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ironbound
EU Bookmakers 12%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
4.47/1.49
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.44/2.71
+67%
/
-33%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+42%
/
+0%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
389 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vermont Green vs Ironbound
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vermont Green swept aside Ironbound 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vermont Green as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.
What was the final score of Vermont Green vs Ironbound?
Vermont Green 4-0 Ironbound in the USA - USL League 2 on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vermont Green vs Ironbound?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vermont Green win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 73%, draw 20%, Ironbound 7%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vermont Green), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vermont Green)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
18 Jul 2026