Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

Notts County
2-2 HT 0-1
Fleetwood Town
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
8%
5.1
X/2
15%
6.11
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.12
2/X
9%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.97/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.92
-30% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.9 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Notts County vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
The Meetings
21.02.2015 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Notts County Notts County İN1
16.08.2014 Notts County Notts County 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
07.08.2013 Notts County Notts County 3-2 HT 2-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNLK

Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
2-2
AWAY Fleetwood Town
3.15 xG 0.94
81% Ball Possession 19%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
694 Passes 117
93% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County and Fleetwood Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Notts County had 81% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 19%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 3.15 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Notts County and 1.67 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Fleetwood Town?

Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Notts County 36%, draw 25%, Fleetwood Town 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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