18/08/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Brühl vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
17%
Draw
13%
63%
Away Win
80%
42%
Under 2.5
28%
58%
Over 2.5
72%
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
50%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brühl v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Brühl
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lugano
EU Bookmakers 85%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
0.00/4.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.63/0.10
-100%
/
-32%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-8%
/
+150%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
244 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
494 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Brühl vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lugano cruised past Brühl 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Brühl vs Lugano?
Brühl 1-7 Lugano in the Switzerland - Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brühl vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Brühl 20%, draw 17%, Lugano 63%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Lugano)
✓ Over 2.5
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İSVK
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18 Aug 2024