Brühl 1-7 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
63%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+12.6pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.0pp
63%
Away Win
80%
-16.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brühl EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 85%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.10
-100% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brühl vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano cruised past Brühl 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Brühl vs Lugano?

Brühl 1-7 Lugano in the Switzerland - Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brühl vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Brühl 20%, draw 17%, Lugano 63%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5
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18 Aug 2024
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