Mainz 05 U19 1-2 FSV Frankfurt U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.5pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 U19 EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Frankfurt U19 EU Bookmakers 14%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05 U19
1-2
AWAY FSV Frankfurt U19
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt U19 squeezed past Mainz 05 U19 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Mainz 05 U19 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mainz 05 U19 had 64% of the ball to FSV Frankfurt U19's 36%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19?

Mainz 05 U19 1-2 FSV Frankfurt U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 U19 58%, draw 24%, FSV Frankfurt U19 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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