Nacional Potosi 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.77/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.24
+16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
25.9 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
2-1
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.41 xG 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
326 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi squeezed past Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 59% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 41%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.41 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Nacional Potosi 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 56%, draw 25%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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