Hebar 1918 0-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
11%
+10.3pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.7pp
52%
Away Win
70%
-18.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
12.08.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv edged past Hebar 1918 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 38% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 62%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hebar 1918 and 0.50 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Hebar 1918 0-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 21%, draw 26%, Botev Plovdiv 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
18 Aug 2024
19:00 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Analysis →