Azam 1-0 APR Kigali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.5pp
27%
Draw
17%
+9.2pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azam EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY APR Kigali EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Azam vs APR Kigali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azam squeezed past APR Kigali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Azam as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Azam vs APR Kigali?

Azam 1-0 APR Kigali in the CAF Champions League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azam vs APR Kigali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azam win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Azam 58%, draw 27%, APR Kigali 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azam), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Azam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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