Thisted 1-0 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.54/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.63
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nykobing
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
23.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 2-2 HT 2-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thisted
1-0
AWAY Nykobing
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted nicked a narrow win over Nykobing 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thisted as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Thisted had 50% of the ball to Nykobing's 50%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thisted and 1.50 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Nykobing?

Thisted 1-0 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Thisted 46%, draw 24%, Nykobing 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thisted), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thisted) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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