Bali United 2-0 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.21
Over
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bali United win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang The Market 18%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.94/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Semen Padang
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
02.12.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 0-2 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United beat Semen Padang 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Semen Padang?

Bali United 2-0 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bali United 55%, draw 20%, Semen Padang 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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