Bijelo Brdo 1-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
39%
Away Win
24%
+14.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.29/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.61
-14% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-1 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1-1
AWAY Dugopolje
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo and Dugopolje couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 46% of the ball to Dugopolje's 54%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Dugopolje?

Bijelo Brdo 1-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 38%, draw 23%, Dugopolje 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dugopolje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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