Budapest Honved 1-2 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
2.05/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.18
+52% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Honved
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Ajka Ajka 0-2 HT 0-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
12.11.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Budapest Honved vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Budapest Honved 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Ajka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Budapest Honved had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Budapest Honved and 0.00 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved vs Ajka?

Budapest Honved 1-2 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved 36%, draw 27%, Ajka 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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