Hodd 3-2 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 30% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.3pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 23%
+21% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.95/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/2.95
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lysekloster
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.06.2024 Lysekloster Lysekloster 0-1 HT 0-0 Hodd Hodd NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hodd
3-2
AWAY Lysekloster
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd edged past Lysekloster 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hodd had 46% of the ball to Lysekloster's 54%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Lysekloster?

Hodd 3-2 Lysekloster in the Norway - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hodd 48%, draw 31%, Lysekloster 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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