18/08/2024
·
11:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Samorin vs Stara Lubovna Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
28%
Draw
24%
25%
Away Win
24%
52%
Under 2.5
41%
48%
Over 2.5
59%
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
50%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samorin v Stara Lubovna — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Samorin
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stara Lubovna
EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-34% /
-34%
1.94/1.24
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
+6%
/
-8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-26%
/
-22%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
352 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
Samorin vs Stara Lubovna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Samorin edged past Stara Lubovna 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Samorin as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Samorin vs Stara Lubovna?
Samorin 1-0 Stara Lubovna in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samorin vs Stara Lubovna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samorin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Samorin 47%, draw 28%, Stara Lubovna 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samorin), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Samorin)
✓ Under 2.5
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18 Aug 2024